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Volatility in the DRAM and NAND markets - ECRIN Systems Press Release - January 2026

ECRIN Systems press release

Two independent European analysts (TrendForce and TechInsights) recently reported high volatility in the DRAM and NAND/SSD markets in 2026.

Price increases, declining production volumes and longer manufacturing lead times continue to affect global supply chains, mainly due to AI-related demand and the transfer of production capacity away from legacy memory.

TOPICS INDEPENDENT MARKET OBSERVATIONS
DRAM price volatility
  • Contract prices for DDR4 have increased by 38% to 43%.
  • The supply of legacy DRAM memory is declining due to reduced production capacity. 
  • DDR5 is in short supply, with prices rising due to strong growth in AI-related production.
NAND/SSD prices
  • Contract prices for NAND are rising by 5-10% per quarter, with further double-digit increases expected.
Supply lead times
  • Lead times for DDR5 and NAND are extending into 2025-2026, with suppliers prioritising optimisation for AI applications.
Supply stability
  • Some manufacturers are suspending quotations and switching to daily pricing models due to extreme volatility.

What this means for customers

Based on information from market sources:

  • Higher and more unpredictable bill of materials (BOM) costs.
  • Longer and less predictable delivery times.
  • Risk of DDR4 obsolescence and reduced availability.
  • Increased need for advance order planning and buffer stocking.
  • Suppliers reserve the right to change prices and lead times based on allocations, even for orders already placed.

Recommendations to our customers

  • Anticipate future projects requiring DDR4, SSDs or DDR5.
  • Consider setting up dedicated stocks for the components in question.
  • Review project schedules when memory availability is critical.

Impact of market conditions on the validity of offers

In this context, and until supply conditions return to normal, our price quotations (excluding contracts) will have a reduced period of validity and may be revised at the time of ordering, in line with changes in the commercial conditions imposed by our memory suppliers.

ECRIN Systems, January 2026